We read more and more publication in the direction of a sharp rise in the price of silver to reach 35 or even 50 $ in 2021.
Some also argue that the price of "physical" is currently $ 32, a premium of 25%.
Examples:
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4394587-silver-chartbook-silver-permabull
https://www.kitco.com/news/2020-12-24/Silver-price-to-shine-the-brightest-in-2021-gold-is-third-most-popular-asset.html
What do you think ?
Me, I tend to be wary when the feeling becomes uniformly very positive!

What do you think ?
Me, I tend to be wary when the feeling becomes uniformly very positive!

I am always cautious when metals are promoted. Trust none of these people.
With that said, I look at confidence in government. That is where the currency can and does take a hit. Sure we can chart, but all that can be manipulated by the criminal banksters.

I think silver will be stimulated

Fundamentally, I think the whole sector has been under appreciated for quite a while, even intentionally suppressed as a rising PM price would be tell tale to the shenanigans of the fed. For now, silver looks like it has ignition and lifted off the launch pad December 1. MACD, RSI, and BB's are looking good as are many other indicators not shown on the chart below. Getting above horizontal resistance at $26.50 is key in my mind. Only holdup is 50 day MA getting above 100 day MA (not shown but it is only a matter of days)




 

Fundamentally, I think the whole sector has been under appreciated for quite a while, even intentionally suppressed as a rising PM price would be tell tale to the shenanigans of the fed. For now, silver looks like it has ignition and lifted off the launch pad December 1. MACD, RSI, and BB's are looking good as are many other indicators not shown on the chart below. Getting above horizontal resistance at $26.50 is key in my mind. Only holdup is 50 day MA getting above 100 day MA (not shown but it is only a matter of days)

With the 4th of January coming, who knows...

...and silver?

Pretty much the same but the MA's are much more separated to the plus side. Late last week I bought some SILJ January 2023 LEAPs that are really responding this morning.

Price of silver the last time Dems had full control of congress and White House. may not be realistic comparison of coming performance as the time frame was immediately following the great recession commencement, but then government has the Wuhan flu excuse to throw accountability to the wind currently.



Chart taken from:

https://www.dollarcollapse.com/extreme-charts-january-8/

Here are a few of my thoughts on silver.  First the decline last Friday I believe was an intentional middle of the night big bank and Federal Reserve price management operation. I believe they need to manage the price to keep or at least attempt the citizens having faith in the dollar. A dollar crash would be extremely destructive to the economy's workings: PM's increasing and dollar falling are coming, they are just delaying the inevitable.

Since the August high, silver has painted two distinct bear flags and possibly another between the two. Following the first, price appreciation seemed to respect an up sloping trend line parallel to the flag slope. I do not know if that is as important as it is interesting. The STO trace is putting in a base and MACD looks like it may start trending more favorable, but RSI has a little more downside if it is to tag the slight up trend support.



Up trending 20, 50, nd 200 day MA's are all bull aligned since 22 December, quite positive for the long term. Also positive is volume trended up while price was appreciating and declined on the decrease, maybe the metal is getting into stronger hands. BB's are pinching and probably have a way to go before a turn up in price. Bottom line, I see a move up, just not a high amplitude move up without an outside announcement from the private sector, fed, or government, possibly by way of an economic data shock. I also do not rule out another market management operation, but the managers all to well know if they over do it, the spring back reaction could end up being more than they can manage.