There are some really large influences on election this time around. Evaluation of handling pandemic, bailouts for mismanaged states over the years having the crises giving cover for bad decisions, Trump's tough stance with foreign countries, and defacto endorsement of monetary policy stealing voter wealth (double digit inflation?) as cover for political mismanagement over the years by federal politicians. Those are emotional issues, particularly wrt the pandemic and folks w/o jobs have time to demonstrate and if they are hungry or have nothing to lose, do so violently. I think you are right, this summer and fall could see some serious rioting.
The best advice Adolph Lundin gave me was: why do you need to always be in the market? Just wait as crashes happen at least once every ten years. We are there IMO very shortly and Ill have cash for this moment.