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Recent Posts

1
Miscellaneous / Re: im fucking terrified
Last post by sn00p -
ken

First of all my only news source is the WSJ, not NPR. The press has been 'contaminated' since long before the days of Eisenhower. A common practice was to hire young homeless boys and have them claim the candidate was their father at rallies so the press could make a field day out of it. Misinformation is not new.

It is evident in the Mueller report and from the information all of our intelligence agencies have that this was a targeted effort by the Russians to destabilize. The yield curve going negative is the first obvious sign (besides the ruble being up 20% since the election of djt) that the ruskies are winning their new coldwar.

I also agree with you Ed that NDX will fall harder than the rest, looking back at 2000 it definitely did and I feel like the apple touching 1 trillion followed by amazon and now msft is nearing as well could be showing how overvalued these assets are.

There is a reason berkshire is sitting on 100B; apple is also sitting on a similar amount of capital. Likely waiting for the fall to buy up the trademarks and other assets they see as competition now.

On average it takes 15 months from a negative yield flash to the recession. The shortest that has been reported is 5 months.
We have time to assess what the best move is, I think for now I will look at the 3x inverse etn calls and as we get closer (between months 5 and 15) I'll begin buying the underlying as well and selling puts against it.

much love

snoop
2
Silver - General Discussion / Re: 2019 The Year silver shines
Last post by simel -



I leave this interview to Ted Butler

http://silverseek.com/commentary/hot-seat-17609

regards
3
CDE - Coeur Mining, Inc / Re: Resources and Evaluation of CDE
Last post by Nikko -
Sandy. I like you have disliked CDE as they use too much stock to acquire...then of course that stock gets sold.
BUT, I am becoming very bullish in gold and while I am not sure when silver breaks, Im pretty sure it will. It will take CDE a hell of a lot higher as larger funds prefer staying within North America. I was in awe at CDE in 2016 and didnt own a share. wont happen this time.
4
CDE - Coeur Mining, Inc / Re: Resources and Evaluation of CDE
Last post by sandybeachdave -
added more CDE. lots more today. From what I saw in 2016, AG and CDE were the silver minors that were liquid that moved most. I owned AG back then but want to stay away to the 1 country mines ( Mexico )
Not crazy about CDE but it will move big with silver and I am now quite long. ( also long GRG.V )
On another note Barrick is looking amazing. I haven't sold a share but have done well with covered calls. I have not sold any covered calls now and will not as looks like a breakout coming...today was a great day!

AG priced in CDE shares shown on the chart has really outperformed over the last year, maybe it is CDE's turn to shine. I am holding a core position in AG and additional shares that I have been using for option fodder. For the last two weeks, I wrote weekly $7 calls for a nickel. Next go around I am going to write April 5 $7.50 calls dated two weeks out. It is the same premium but over two weeks and a generous gain on the underlying if exercised. I am still holding my original CDE position, but hold my nose every time I look at it.


5
CDE - Coeur Mining, Inc / Re: Resources and Evaluation of CDE
Last post by Nikko -
added more CDE. lots more today. From what I saw in 2016, AG and CDE were the silver minors that were liquid that moved most. I owned AG back then but want to stay away to the 1 country mines ( Mexico )
Not crazy about CDE but it will move big with silver and I am now quite long. ( also long GRG.V )
On another note Barrick is looking amazing. I haven't sold a share but have done well with covered calls. I have not sold any covered calls now and will not as looks like a breakout coming...today was a great day!
6
Miscellaneous / Re: im fucking terrified
Last post by edthelorax -
I would think that a little "insurance" would go a long way.
Buying calls on a Nasdaq inverse fund a year out and rolling them over before the real decay starts taking hold (the last 6 months before expiration) may be the "cheapest" way to play this.
An easier way would be to buy a 2x or 3x inverse ETN.
I think that the NDX will fall harder than the SPX or DOW
7
Miscellaneous / Re: im fucking terrified
Last post by ken -
Snoop,

A skewed vision of politics will lead you to make mistakes that could be very costly. As to the USA, it is over. For example you wrote "This is what putin wanted when he installed djt -- The US to crumble. Looks like he could get it."
That is the crap I hear on NPR, and all the other media channels. It is government (deep state) propaganda.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44I3pMouCnM

If the press has been compromised, and it has, the democracy is dead. All you have to do is to wait for the loss of confidence in the government to reach around 40% of the population. When that is reached you can expect hyperinflation. Trade accordingly. Right now we are in a deflationary cycle. That will change as I stated above.

Democracies last around 200 years before self destructing. It is cycles I look for. Everything operates on cycles.
8
Miscellaneous / Re: im fucking terrified
Last post by sn00p -
yield curve is negative as of today. start the counter til doom of t minus 15 months on average
9
PM Mining Stocks / Re: Some to look into...
Last post by sandybeachdave -
Mag Silver (MAG) might be a Mexican silver miner to consider. They have 44% of a Fresnillo operated lucrative mine that is scheduled to come on line in a year and a half at 4,000 tons per day and initial mine life of 19 years with great exploration potential. Here is a link to the recent company presentation:

http://www.magsilver.com/i/pdf/corporate-presentation.pdf


Share price run up has been remarkable painting a golden cross earlier this month. Share price is dragging the BB's up and tracing the upper band while the lower band is being traced by the 50 day MA. Seems like a good story except for the massive run up might need a little pause for a while.



10
Silver - General Discussion / Re: 2019 The Year silver shines
Last post by sandybeachdave -
greetings community
How can you influence the maturity of futures at the end of the month of silver?

Thank you

It's easy, just buy a billion dollars worth of futures slowly and then sell them all at once.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-03-20/gold-tumbles-back-below-1300-someone-suddenly-dumps-1-billion-precious-paper

Chart in that article with the volume spike on the drop is telling; very good find!